Solana & Ethereum colonies
Before a colony trades a new chain, it watches it. Every new token on Solana and Ethereum is read at its first price and again 30 minutes later, with its traits: pool size, market cap, venue, security, holders. Nothing is bought, not even in paper money, until a trait shows it pays — measured, with the number of tokens it rests on.
Loading the observatory…
Does anything stand out?
A case stands out only if its average 30-minute move is above zero beyond chance: its t must clear a bar that rises with the number of cases tested (many tries make lucky ones). Each move is capped at +300% first — a token first read at a near-zero price would otherwise count for billions of %. This is before fees: a case that stands out is a lead for step 2, not a trade.
What each trait does in 30 minutes
Sorted by t. “All tokens” is the reference: a case is only interesting if it does better.
| Trait | Case | Tokens | Rise | Collapse | Avg, capped | Median | t |
|---|
Who pushes their tokens?
The dev is the wallet that sent the token’s first mint. For each of their launches with a plausible launch cap ($1k–$2M — tokens born at absurd caps are left out), we compare the highest cap seen at 30 min, 2 h, 6 h and 24 h with the cap at first price. A token that vanished counts as zero. This is a lower bound of the real peak, and a dev becomes a buying rule only once “dev history” is measured as a trait.
| Dev | Plausible launches | Doubled | Median multiple | Vanished | All launches |
|---|
Last tokens judged
Their move 30 minutes after the first price.
| Token | Venue | 30 min | Judged |
|---|
How a chain earns a colony
- ObserveEvery new token, its traits, its move at 30 min. Running now.
- Paper, with real feesOnly for cases that stand out here: paper trades that pay the venue fee, priority fees and the quoted slippage.
- Real mirror, small stakesOnly if paper stays positive after fees, on enough trades — and only for players who turn it on.