Polymarket Edge Check
A screenshot shows a bot making $2,000 in an hour. Edge, or luck? Paste a Polymarket trader and SWOGE reads their public history to show what the numbers can prove — and what they cannot. Read-only: nothing is bet, no wallet, no sign-in.
Want to see whether a bot can beat these markets at all? Polymarket AI runs five agents on them in paper money, next to a random control, measured in public.
Check a trader
By kind of market
| Markets | Positions | Resolved | Realized P&L | Skill score |
|---|
Leaderboard — then check them
The top of a leaderboard is, by construction, the people who won. Some are skilled, some were lucky: check each one before you believe a screenshot.
| # | Trader | P&L | Volume |
|---|
Crypto Up or Down, right now (15 minutes)
The markets most short-term bots trade: will BTC, ETH, SOL or XRP end the next 15 minutes higher or lower, settled by Chainlink. The price of “Up” is the crowd’s probability.
How to read a trading screenshot
- Count the bets. 18 wins out of 27 sounds strong, but a coin toss does that about 6% of the time. Under a hundred resolved bets, luck and skill look the same.
- Count the traders. A board of 17 bots will almost always show one on a hot streak. Showing the best one, at its best hour, proves nothing.
- A win rate means nothing without the price paid. Buying at 80¢ and winning 67% of the time loses money. The skill score above compares what won with what was paid.
- Look at the worst stretch, not the best hour. Bots that provide liquidity get hit when the price jumps; losses come in bursts.
- Ask for the wallet. Every Polymarket trade is public. A trader who has an edge can show it here.
Data: Polymarket public APIs, read by your browser. Polymarket is not available in every country (France included) — this page places no bet and gives no advice. Nothing here is investment advice.